Mexico vs Colombia prediction, International Friendlies
Our pick Strong
Under 3.5 Goals
79.9%
xG
1.2 – 1.1
Over 2.5
40%
Both score
48%
Form
Full stats →
MexicoLLDDL
ColombiaWLDDWMatch analysis
Model generatedMexico favoured at 38%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.22 goals for Mexico and 1.08 for Colombia, giving 38% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 31% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.22 - 1.08
- Clean sheet chance: Mexico 34%, Colombia 29%
Match result
1X2Mexico38.4%
Draw30.4%
Colombia31.2%
Model rating
All ratings →5.3
Mexico
Average
6.1
Colombia
Above average
MexicoLast 10 gamesColombia1.70Points per game2.10
1.5Goals scored per game1.2
1.0Goals conceded per game0.3
40%Over 2.5 goals10%
30%Both teams scored20%
50%Clean sheets70%
20%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings1
Mexico
2
Draws
7
Colombia
- 27 Sept 26Mexico 1-1 Colombia
- 11 Oct 25Mexico 0-4 Colombia
- 16 Dec 23Mexico 2-3 Colombia
- 27 Sept 22Mexico 2-3 Colombia
- 29 Feb 12Mexico 0-2 Colombia