Mexico vs Colombia prediction, CONCACAF Gold Cup
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
69.6%
xG
0.9 – 1.0
Over 2.5
31%
Both score
40%
Form
Full stats →
MexicoLLDDL
ColombiaWLDDWMatch analysis
Model generatedColombia favoured at 36%, in a tight game
The model projects 0.92 goals for Mexico and 1.03 for Colombia, giving 30% for the home win, 33% for the draw and 36% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 3413 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-0 at 15%
- Expected goals: 0.92 - 1.03
- Clean sheet chance: Mexico 36%, Colombia 40%
Match result
1X2Mexico30.4%
Draw33.4%
Colombia36.2%
Model rating
All ratings →5.3
Mexico
Average
6.1
Colombia
Above average
MexicoLast 10 gamesColombia1.70Points per game2.10
1.5Goals scored per game1.2
1.0Goals conceded per game0.3
40%Over 2.5 goals10%
30%Both teams scored20%
50%Clean sheets70%
20%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings1
Mexico
2
Draws
7
Colombia
- 27 Sept 26Mexico 1-1 Colombia
- 11 Oct 25Mexico 0-4 Colombia
- 16 Dec 23Mexico 2-3 Colombia
- 27 Sept 22Mexico 2-3 Colombia
- 29 Feb 12Mexico 0-2 Colombia