Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.8 – 0.8
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
47%
The model projects 1.83 goals for Germany and 0.81 for Serbia, giving 61% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 15% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Germany
Above average
Serbia
Average
3
Germany
2
Draws
1
Serbia