Colombia vs Mexico prediction, Copa America
Our pick
Under 2.5 Goals
67.2%
xG
1.1 – 0.9
Over 2.5
33%
Both score
41%
Form
Full stats →
ColombiaWLDDW
MexicoLLDDLMatch analysis
Model generatedColombia favoured at 40%, in a tight game
The model projects 1.12 goals for Colombia and 0.89 for Mexico, giving 40% for the home win, 33% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 3098 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.12 - 0.89
- Clean sheet chance: Colombia 41%, Mexico 33%
Match result
1X2Colombia39.7%
Draw32.6%
Mexico27.8%
Model rating
All ratings →6.1
Colombia
Above average
5.3
Mexico
Average
ColombiaLast 10 gamesMexico2.10Points per game1.70
1.2Goals scored per game1.5
0.3Goals conceded per game1.0
10%Over 2.5 goals40%
20%Both teams scored30%
70%Clean sheets50%
30%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings7
Colombia
2
Draws
1
Mexico
- 27 Sept 26Mexico 1-1 Colombia
- 11 Oct 25Mexico 0-4 Colombia
- 16 Dec 23Mexico 2-3 Colombia
- 27 Sept 22Mexico 2-3 Colombia
- 29 Feb 12Mexico 0-2 Colombia