Wales vs Northern Ireland prediction, World Cup Qualifying UEFA
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
78.2%
xG
1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.5
43%
Both score
49%
Form
Full stats →
WalesLWLLL
Northern IrelandLWDLWMatch analysis
Model generatedWales favoured at 42%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.34 goals for Wales and 1.04 for Northern Ireland, giving 42% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.34 - 1.04
- Clean sheet chance: Wales 35%, Northern Ireland 26%
Match result
1X2Wales42.4%
Draw29.7%
Northern Ireland27.9%
Model rating
All ratings →5.4
Wales
Average
5.4
Northern Ireland
Average
WalesLast 10 gamesNorthern Ireland1.00Points per game1.30
1.4Goals scored per game1.0
1.2Goals conceded per game1.2
30%Over 2.5 goals30%
70%Both teams scored40%
0%Clean sheets30%
30%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 6 meetings2
Wales
4
Draws
0
Northern Ireland
- 31 Mar 26Wales 1-1 Northern Ireland
- 25 Jun 16Wales 1-0 Northern Ireland
- 24 Mar 16Wales 1-1 Northern Ireland
- 6 Feb 07Northern Ireland 0-0 Wales
- 8 Oct 05Northern Ireland 2-3 Wales