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Germany vs Paraguay prediction, FIFA World Cup

FIFA World Cup · Round of 16Full time

Germany

1-0

Sat, 15 Jun

Paraguay

Model's readSeogwipo
1 43%X 30%2 27%

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

73.3%

xG

1.3 – 1.0

Over 2.5

39%

Both score

46%

Form

Full stats →
GermanyDWLDD
ParaguayWWLDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Germany favoured at 43%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.28 goals for Germany and 0.96 for Paraguay, giving 43% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
  • Expected goals: 1.28 - 0.96
  • Clean sheet chance: Germany 38%, Paraguay 28%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Germany v Paraguay

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Germany42.9%
Draw30.4%
Paraguay26.7%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.6

Germany

Above average

6.2

Paraguay

Above average

GermanyLast 10 gamesParaguay
1.80Points per game1.70
2.0Goals scored per game1.2
0.8Goals conceded per game0.8
50%Over 2.5 goals30%
60%Both teams scored30%
30%Clean sheets60%
20%Failed to score20%

Recent results

GermanyDWLDD
  • 4 OctAGreece0-0
  • 1 OctHSerbia2-0
  • 27 SeptHGreece0-1
  • 24 SeptANetherlands1-1
  • 29 JunHParaguay1-1
  • 25 JunAEcuador1-2
ParaguayWWLDD
  • 3 OctAColombia1-0
  • 27 SeptABolivia2-0
  • 4 JulHFrance0-1
  • 29 JunAGermany1-1
  • 25 JunHAustralia0-0
  • 19 JunATurkey1-0

Head to head

Last 3 meetings

1

Germany

2

Draws

0

Paraguay

  • 29 Jun 26Germany 1-1 Paraguay
  • 14 Aug 13Germany 3-3 Paraguay
  • 15 Jun 02Germany 1-0 Paraguay
Every meeting between these two →