Madagascar vs Equatorial Guinea prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
World Cup Qualifying CAFFull time
Madagascar
2-1
Equatorial Guinea
Model's readAntananarivo
1 52%X 25%2 23%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
76.5%
xG
1.7 – 1.0
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →
MadagascarLDWWL
Equatorial GuineaLDWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedMadagascar favoured at 52%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.69 goals for Madagascar and 1.05 for Equatorial Guinea, giving 52% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.69 - 1.05
- Clean sheet chance: Madagascar 35%, Equatorial Guinea 18%
Match result
1X2Madagascar51.7%
Draw25.5%
Equatorial Guinea22.8%
Model rating
All ratings →5.6
Madagascar
Above average
5.5
Equatorial Guinea
Above average
MadagascarLast 10 gamesEquatorial Guinea1.60Points per game1.10
1.7Goals scored per game0.7
1.9Goals conceded per game1.1
70%Over 2.5 goals20%
60%Both teams scored40%
20%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 6 meetings4
Madagascar
1
Draws
1
Equatorial Guinea
- 31 Mar 26Equatorial Guinea 1-1 Madagascar
- 17 Nov 25Madagascar 2-0 Equatorial Guinea
- 16 Oct 18Madagascar 1-0 Equatorial Guinea
- 13 Oct 18Equatorial Guinea 0-1 Madagascar
- 15 Nov 11Madagascar 2-1 Equatorial Guinea