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Morocco vs Mali prediction, Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of NationsFull time

Morocco

4-0

Wed, 11 Feb

Mali

Model's readSousse
1 56%X 28%2 16%

Our pick

Under 2.5 Goals

64.8%

xG

1.5 – 0.7

Over 2.5

35%

Both score

38%

Form

Full stats →
MoroccoLWDWW
MaliLDLDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Morocco favoured at 56%, in a tight game

The model projects 1.45 goals for Morocco and 0.66 for Mali, giving 56% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 16% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 17%
  • Expected goals: 1.45 - 0.66
  • Clean sheet chance: Morocco 52%, Mali 23%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Morocco v Mali

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Morocco55.7%
Draw28.2%
Mali16.1%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.2

Morocco

Above average

5.6

Mali

Above average

MoroccoLast 10 gamesMali
2.10Points per game1.20
2.2Goals scored per game1.0
0.8Goals conceded per game0.9
50%Over 2.5 goals20%
50%Both teams scored50%
40%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score50%

Recent results

MoroccoLWDWW
  • 9 JulAFrance0-2
  • 4 JulACanada3-0
  • 29 JunANetherlands1-1
  • 24 JunHHaiti4-2
  • 19 JunAScotland1-0
  • 13 JunABrazil1-1
MaliLDLDD
  • 4 JunAIran0-2
  • 31 MarARussia0-0
  • 9 JanHSenegal0-1
  • 3 JanHTunisia1-1
  • 29 DecAComoros0-0
  • 26 DecAMorocco1-1

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

3

Morocco

3

Draws

4

Mali

  • 26 Dec 25Morocco 1-1 Mali
  • 5 Sept 17Mali 0-0 Morocco
  • 1 Sept 17Morocco 6-0 Mali
  • 28 May 06Morocco 0-1 Mali
  • 28 May 04Mali 0-0 Morocco
Every meeting between these two →