Mexico vs South Africa prediction, International Friendlies
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
75.9%
xG
1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.5
40%
Both score
46%
Form
Full stats →
MexicoLLDDL
South AfricaWLWDLMatch analysis
Model generatedMexico favoured at 46%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.37 goals for Mexico and 0.91 for South Africa, giving 46% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.37 - 0.91
- Clean sheet chance: Mexico 40%, South Africa 26%
Match result
1X2Mexico46.3%
Draw29.6%
South Africa24.1%
Model rating
All ratings →5.3
Mexico
Average
5.8
South Africa
Above average
MexicoLast 10 gamesSouth Africa1.70Points per game1.20
1.5Goals scored per game0.7
1.0Goals conceded per game0.9
40%Over 2.5 goals20%
30%Both teams scored40%
50%Clean sheets40%
20%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 4 meetings2
Mexico
1
Draws
1
South Africa
- 11 Jun 26Mexico 2-0 South Africa
- 11 Jun 10South Africa 1-1 Mexico
- 8 Jul 05South Africa 2-1 Mexico
- 6 Oct 93Mexico 4-0 South Africa