Lesotho vs Zimbabwe prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
67.5%
xG
1.1 – 1.3
Over 2.5
43%
Both score
50%
Form
Full stats →
LesothoLDLDW
ZimbabweWLWLDMatch analysis
Model generatedZimbabwe favoured at 38%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.15 goals for Lesotho and 1.27 for Zimbabwe, giving 33% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 38% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.15 - 1.27
- Clean sheet chance: Lesotho 28%, Zimbabwe 32%
Match result
1X2Lesotho32.5%
Draw29.1%
Zimbabwe38.4%
Model rating
All ratings →5.0
Lesotho
Average
5.7
Zimbabwe
Above average
LesothoLast 10 gamesZimbabwe0.60Points per game1.10
0.4Goals scored per game1.1
1.9Goals conceded per game1.3
50%Over 2.5 goals50%
30%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets30%
60%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 9 meetings3
Lesotho
2
Draws
4
Zimbabwe
- 13 Oct 25Lesotho 1-0 Zimbabwe
- 7 Jun 24Zimbabwe 0-2 Lesotho
- 17 Jul 12Zimbabwe 5-3 Lesotho
- 12 Aug 09Zimbabwe 1-1 Lesotho
- 25 May 07Zimbabwe 1-1 Lesotho