Arsenal vs Aston Villa prediction, English Premier League
English Premier League · Round 8Full time
Arsenal
0-3
Aston Villa
Model's readEmirates Stadium
1 60%X 24%2 16%
Our pick
Home Win
60.0%
xG
1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
49%
Form
Full stats →ArsenalWLWWWAston VillaDWWLWMatch analysis
EnhancedArsenal to win at home: model gives 60%
The model favours Arsenal at 60%, well above the 42% home-win norm in this competition, which is the strongest read here. Expected goals are 1.85 for Arsenal and 0.85 for Aston Villa. Goals markets sit near 50-50, so they offer little edge.
Match result
1X2Arsenal60.0%
Draw24.3%
Aston Villa15.7%
Model rating
All ratings →8.3
Arsenal
Strong
5.8
Aston Villa
Above average
ArsenalLast 10 gamesAston Villa2.50Points per game1.70
1.8Goals scored per game1.7
0.9Goals conceded per game1.5
60%Over 2.5 goals80%
50%Both teams scored60%
40%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score30%
Recent results
ArsenalWLWWW
English Premier League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |  Brighton and Hove Albion | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Leeds United | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Newcastle United | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 11▲ |  Manchester United27′ 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 12▼ |  Ipswich Town | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18▲ |  Tottenham Hotspur27′ 0-0 | 6 | -6 | 3 |
| 19▼ |  Coventry City | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 20▼ |  Fulham | 5 | -3 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Arsenal
1
Draws
3
Aston Villa
- 31 Aug 26Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal
- 30 Dec 25Arsenal 4-1 Aston Villa
- 6 Dec 25Aston Villa 2-1 Arsenal
- 18 Jan 25Arsenal 2-2 Aston Villa
- 24 Aug 24Aston Villa 0-2 Arsenal