Chelsea vs Leeds United prediction, English Premier League
English Premier League · Round 11Full time
Chelsea
3-1
Leeds United
Model's readStamford Bridge
1 43%X 27%2 30%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
79.3%
xG
1.6 – 1.3
Over 2.5
55%
Both score
59%
Form
Full stats →ChelseaWLDWLLeeds UnitedLDWLDMatch analysis
Model generatedChelsea favoured at 43%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.58 goals for Chelsea and 1.30 for Leeds United, giving 43% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 30% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.58 - 1.30
- Clean sheet chance: Chelsea 27%, Leeds United 21%
Match result
1X2Chelsea42.8%
Draw27.0%
Leeds United30.3%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Chelsea
Above average
5.8
Leeds United
Above average
ChelseaLast 10 gamesLeeds United1.90Points per game1.50
2.6Goals scored per game1.4
1.9Goals conceded per game1.4
90%Over 2.5 goals40%
80%Both teams scored50%
10%Clean sheets40%
10%Failed to score20%
Recent results
ChelseaWLDWLEnglish Premier League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |  Brighton and Hove Albion | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds United | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Newcastle United | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ipswich Town | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Coventry City | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Chelsea
2
Draws
2
Leeds United
- 9 Sept 26Chelsea 6-3 Leeds United
- 26 Apr 26Chelsea 1-0 Leeds United
- 10 Feb 26Chelsea 2-2 Leeds United
- 3 Dec 25Leeds United 3-1 Chelsea
- 4 Mar 23Chelsea 1-0 Leeds United