Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction — English Premier League

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

76.0%

xG

1.1 – 1.6

Over 2.5

52%

Both score

55%

Form

Full stats →

ChelseaWLDWL

ArsenalWLWWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Arsenal favoured at 49%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.09 goals for Chelsea and 1.65 for Arsenal, giving 24% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 49% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.09 - 1.65
Clean sheet chance: Chelsea 19%, Arsenal 34%

Match result

1X2

Chelsea24.0%

Draw26.8%

Arsenal49.2%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.7

Chelsea

Above average

8.3

Arsenal

Strong

ChelseaLast 10 games

Arsenal

1.90Points per game2.50

2.6Goals scored per game1.8

1.9Goals conceded per game0.9

90%Over 2.5 goals60%

80%Both teams scored50%

10%Clean sheets40%

10%Failed to score10%

Recent results

ChelseaWLDWL

ArsenalWLWWW

English Premier League

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	+4	12
3	Brighton and Hove Albion	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	+6	9
5	Leeds United	5	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	+3	9
7	Everton	5	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	+2	8
9	Newcastle United	5	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	-2	7
11	Ipswich Town	5	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	-2	3
18	Coventry City	5	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	-3	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur	5	-6	2