Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
49%
The model projects 1.51 goals for Malawi and 0.96 for Botswana, giving 49% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Malawi
Average
Botswana
Average
2
Malawi
5
Draws
3
Botswana