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Malawi vs Botswana prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF

World Cup Qualifying CAFFull time

Malawi

1-0

Tue, 10 Sept

Botswana

Model's readBlantyre
1 49%X 27%2 23%

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

76.8%

xG

1.5 – 1.0

Over 2.5

45%

Both score

49%

Form

Full stats →
MalawiLDLLW
BotswanaWLLLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Malawi favoured at 49%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.51 goals for Malawi and 0.96 for Botswana, giving 49% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.51 - 0.96
  • Clean sheet chance: Malawi 38%, Botswana 22%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Malawi v Botswana

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Malawi49.4%
Draw27.4%
Botswana23.2%

Model rating

All ratings →
4.9

Malawi

Average

5.2

Botswana

Average

MalawiLast 10 gamesBotswana
1.20Points per game0.50
1.0Goals scored per game0.5
1.0Goals conceded per game1.9
40%Over 2.5 goals50%
40%Both teams scored30%
30%Clean sheets10%
40%Failed to score60%

Recent results

MalawiLDLLW
  • 6 OctAAngola1-3
  • 9 JunAEthiopia1-1
  • 6 JunAEthiopia0-1
  • 31 MarABotswana0-1
  • 18 NovALesotho1-0
  • 15 NovALesotho0-0
BotswanaWLLLL
  • 31 MarHMalawi1-0
  • 28 MarHZimbabwe0-3
  • 30 DecHDR Congo0-3
  • 27 DecABenin0-1
  • 23 DecASenegal0-3
  • 14 OctAGuinea2-2

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

2

Malawi

5

Draws

3

Botswana

  • 31 Mar 26Botswana 1-0 Malawi
  • 6 Jul 25Malawi 1-1 Botswana
  • 10 Sept 19Malawi 1-0 Botswana
  • 7 Sept 19Botswana 0-0 Malawi
  • 3 Sept 13Botswana 1-0 Malawi
Every meeting between these two →