Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.6 – 0.8
Over 2.5
44%
Both score
46%
Guinea are the model's pick at 54%, with a draw at 27% and a Botswana win at 19%. Their home record is strong, but their last six have been weak at 0.8 points a game, against 1.4 across the sample. Treat it as a lean, not a lock.
Guinea
Above average
Botswana
Average
5
Guinea
1
Draws
1
Botswana