Mexico vs USA prediction, CONCACAF Gold Cup
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
65.8%
xG
1.3 – 1.4
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
55%
Form
Full stats →
MexicoLLDDL
USAWWWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedUSA favoured at 38%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.29 goals for Mexico and 1.36 for USA, giving 34% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 38% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 3413 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.29 - 1.36
- Clean sheet chance: Mexico 26%, USA 28%
Match result
1X2Mexico34.2%
Draw28.1%
USA37.7%
Model rating
All ratings →5.3
Mexico
Average
6.2
USA
Above average
MexicoLast 10 gamesUSA1.70Points per game2.10
1.5Goals scored per game2.5
1.0Goals conceded per game1.4
40%Over 2.5 goals70%
30%Both teams scored60%
50%Clean sheets40%
20%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings5
Mexico
2
Draws
3
USA
- 4 Oct 26USA 3-0 Mexico
- 6 Jul 25USA 1-2 Mexico
- 15 Oct 24Mexico 2-0 USA
- 19 Apr 23USA 1-1 Mexico
- 24 Mar 22Mexico 0-0 USA