Chad vs Mali prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Africa Cup of Nations · Round 2Full time
Chad
0-2
Mali
Model's readStade Omnisports Idriss Mahamat Ouya
1 23%X 29%2 47%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
76.9%
xG
0.9 – 1.3
Over 2.5
38%
Both score
43%
Form
Full stats →
ChadDDLLL
MaliLDLDDMatch analysis
Model generatedMali favoured at 47%, in a middling game
The model projects 0.86 goals for Chad and 1.35 for Mali, giving 23% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 47% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 0.86 - 1.35
- Clean sheet chance: Chad 26%, Mali 42%
Match result
1X2Chad23.1%
Draw29.5%
Mali47.4%
Model rating
All ratings →4.9
Chad
Average
5.6
Mali
Above average
ChadLast 10 gamesMali0.40Points per game1.20
1.1Goals scored per game1.0
1.9Goals conceded per game0.9
70%Over 2.5 goals20%
80%Both teams scored50%
10%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 6 meetings0
Chad
0
Draws
6
Mali
- 8 Oct 25Chad 0-2 Mali
- 17 Nov 23Mali 3-1 Chad
- 28 Mar 21Mali 3-0 Chad
- 17 Nov 19Chad 0-2 Mali
- 11 Oct 08Mali 2-1 Chad