Mauritania vs Burundi prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Africa Cup of Nations · Round 3Full time
Mauritania
1-1
Burundi
Model's readStade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya
1 43%X 32%2 25%
Our pick
Under 2.5 Goals
67.0%
xG
1.2 – 0.8
Over 2.5
33%
Both score
40%
Form
Full stats →
MauritaniaWWDLL
BurundiLLLLLMatch analysis
Model generatedMauritania favoured at 43%, in a tight game
The model projects 1.19 goals for Mauritania and 0.84 for Burundi, giving 43% for the home win, 32% for the draw and 25% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 15%
- Expected goals: 1.19 - 0.84
- Clean sheet chance: Mauritania 43%, Burundi 31%
Match result
1X2Mauritania43.2%
Draw31.6%
Burundi25.2%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Mauritania
Above average
5.0
Burundi
Average
MauritaniaLast 10 gamesBurundi1.30Points per game0.70
0.7Goals scored per game0.6
0.9Goals conceded per game1.3
20%Over 2.5 goals20%
30%Both teams scored0%
50%Clean sheets30%
40%Failed to score80%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 5 meetings1
Mauritania
2
Draws
2
Burundi
- 10 Jun 25Burundi 0-0 Mauritania
- 15 Nov 20Burundi 3-1 Mauritania
- 11 Nov 20Mauritania 1-1 Burundi
- 13 Oct 07Mauritania 2-1 Burundi
- 8 Oct 06Burundi 3-1 Mauritania