Burundi vs Mauritania prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Africa Cup of Nations · Round 4Full time
Burundi
3-1
Mauritania
Model's readStade Intwari
1 25%X 32%2 43%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
74.8%
xG
0.8 – 1.2
Over 2.5
33%
Both score
40%
Form
Full stats →
BurundiLLLLL
MauritaniaWWDLLMatch analysis
Model generatedMauritania favoured at 43%, in a tight game
The model projects 0.84 goals for Burundi and 1.19 for Mauritania, giving 25% for the home win, 32% for the draw and 43% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-1 at 15%
- Expected goals: 0.84 - 1.19
- Clean sheet chance: Burundi 31%, Mauritania 43%
Match result
1X2Burundi25.2%
Draw31.6%
Mauritania43.2%
Model rating
All ratings →5.0
Burundi
Average
5.7
Mauritania
Above average
BurundiLast 10 gamesMauritania0.70Points per game1.30
0.6Goals scored per game0.7
1.3Goals conceded per game0.9
20%Over 2.5 goals20%
0%Both teams scored30%
30%Clean sheets50%
80%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 5 meetings2
Burundi
2
Draws
1
Mauritania
- 10 Jun 25Burundi 0-0 Mauritania
- 15 Nov 20Burundi 3-1 Mauritania
- 11 Nov 20Mauritania 1-1 Burundi
- 13 Oct 07Mauritania 2-1 Burundi
- 8 Oct 06Burundi 3-1 Mauritania