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Mali vs Chad prediction, Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations · Round 6Full time

Mali

3-0

Sun, 28 Mar

Chad

Model's readStade 26 Mars
1 47%X 29%2 23%

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

76.9%

xG

1.3 – 0.9

Over 2.5

38%

Both score

43%

Form

Full stats →
MaliLDLDD
ChadDDLLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Mali favoured at 47%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.35 goals for Mali and 0.86 for Chad, giving 47% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 14%
  • Expected goals: 1.35 - 0.86
  • Clean sheet chance: Mali 42%, Chad 26%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Mali v Chad

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Mali47.4%
Draw29.5%
Chad23.1%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.6

Mali

Above average

4.9

Chad

Average

MaliLast 10 gamesChad
1.20Points per game0.40
1.0Goals scored per game1.1
0.9Goals conceded per game1.9
20%Over 2.5 goals70%
50%Both teams scored80%
30%Clean sheets10%
50%Failed to score20%

Recent results

MaliLDLDD
  • 4 JunAIran0-2
  • 31 MarARussia0-0
  • 9 JanHSenegal0-1
  • 3 JanHTunisia1-1
  • 29 DecAComoros0-0
  • 26 DecAMorocco1-1
ChadDDLLL
  • 17 NovHMozambique2-2
  • 17 NovAMozambique2-2
  • 14 NovAUganda1-2
  • 12 OctHCentral African Republic2-3
  • 8 OctHMali0-2
  • 8 SeptAMadagascar1-3

Head to head

Last 6 meetings

6

Mali

0

Draws

0

Chad

  • 8 Oct 25Chad 0-2 Mali
  • 17 Nov 23Mali 3-1 Chad
  • 28 Mar 21Mali 3-0 Chad
  • 17 Nov 19Chad 0-2 Mali
  • 11 Oct 08Mali 2-1 Chad
Every meeting between these two →