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Nigeria vs Lesotho prediction, Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations · Round 6Full time

Nigeria

3-0

Tue, 30 Mar

Lesotho

Model's readTeslim Balogun Stadium
1 66%X 22%2 12%

Our pick

Home Win

66.0%

xG

2.0 – 0.7

Over 2.5

51%

Both score

45%

Form

Full stats →
NigeriaDLDWW
LesothoLDLDW

Match analysis

Model generated

Nigeria favoured at 66%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.97 goals for Nigeria and 0.74 for Lesotho, giving 66% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 12% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.97 - 0.74
  • Clean sheet chance: Nigeria 48%, Lesotho 14%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Nigeria v Lesotho

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Nigeria66.0%
Draw21.6%
Lesotho12.4%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.9

Nigeria

Above average

5.0

Lesotho

Average

NigeriaLast 10 gamesLesotho
1.50Points per game0.60
1.5Goals scored per game0.4
1.0Goals conceded per game1.9
60%Over 2.5 goals50%
50%Both teams scored30%
50%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score60%

Recent results

NigeriaDLDWW
  • 6 OctARussia3-3
  • 10 JunAPortugal1-2
  • 3 JunAPoland2-2
  • 30 MayAJamaica3-0
  • 26 MayHZimbabwe2-0
  • 31 MarAJordan2-2
LesothoLDLDW
  • 7 JunAKenya0-4
  • 4 JunHKenya1-1
  • 18 NovHMalawi0-1
  • 15 NovHMalawi0-0
  • 13 OctHZimbabwe1-0
  • 10 OctHNigeria1-2

Head to head

Last 6 meetings

5

Nigeria

1

Draws

0

Lesotho

  • 10 Oct 25Lesotho 1-2 Nigeria
  • 16 Nov 23Nigeria 1-1 Lesotho
  • 30 Mar 21Nigeria 3-0 Lesotho
  • 17 Nov 19Lesotho 2-4 Nigeria
  • 8 Sept 07Nigeria 2-0 Lesotho
Every meeting between these two →