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Morocco vs Burundi prediction, Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations · Round 6Full time

Morocco

1-0

Tue, 30 Mar

Burundi

Model's readStade Prince Moulay Abdallah
1 70%X 21%2 9%

Our pick

Home Win

69.8%

xG

1.9 – 0.5

Over 2.5

45%

Both score

36%

Form

Full stats →
MoroccoLWDWW
BurundiLLLLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Morocco favoured at 70%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.92 goals for Morocco and 0.54 for Burundi, giving 70% for the home win, 21% for the draw and 9% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 16%
  • Expected goals: 1.92 - 0.54
  • Clean sheet chance: Morocco 58%, Burundi 15%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Morocco v Burundi

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Morocco69.8%
Draw21.1%
Burundi9.1%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.2

Morocco

Above average

5.0

Burundi

Average

MoroccoLast 10 gamesBurundi
2.10Points per game0.70
2.2Goals scored per game0.6
0.8Goals conceded per game1.3
50%Over 2.5 goals20%
50%Both teams scored0%
40%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score80%

Recent results

MoroccoLWDWW
  • 9 JulAFrance0-2
  • 4 JulACanada3-0
  • 29 JunANetherlands1-1
  • 24 JunHHaiti4-2
  • 19 JunAScotland1-0
  • 13 JunABrazil1-1
BurundiLLLLL
  • 26 MayAMorocco0-5
  • 14 OctAGabon0-2
  • 9 OctHKenya0-1
  • 9 SeptAGambia0-2
  • 5 SeptAIvory Coast0-1
  • 10 JunHMauritania0-0

Head to head

Last 3 meetings

3

Morocco

0

Draws

0

Burundi

  • 26 May 26Morocco 5-0 Burundi
  • 30 Mar 21Morocco 1-0 Burundi
  • 19 Nov 19Burundi 0-3 Morocco
Every meeting between these two →