
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2

Manchester City
Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.5 – 1.0
Over 2.5
68%
Both score
59%
The model makes Paris Saint-Germain the clear favourite at 69%, well above the 49% norm for this competition. Expected goals are 2.49 for them and 1.03 for Manchester City, and over 2.5 goals sits at 68%. A 69% rate still leaves room for a draw or a Manchester City win.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | +4 | 3 | |
| 4 | 1 | +4 | 3 | |
| 5 | 1 | +3 | 3 | |
| 6 | 1 | +2 | 3 | |
| 8 | 1 | +2 | 3 | |
| 9 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 9 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 9 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 12 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 13 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 13 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 15 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 21 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 22 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 25 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 27 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 31 | 1 | -2 | 0 | |
| 32 | 1 | -3 | 0 | |
| 33 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
2
Paris Saint-Germain
1
Draws
4
Manchester City