Derby County vs Swansea Prediction — English Championship

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

64.5%

xG

1.3 – 1.3

Over 2.5

48%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →

Derby CountyDDLLL

SwanseaWWWLD

Match analysis

Model generated

Swansea favoured at 36%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.28 goals for Derby County and 1.29 for Swansea, giving 35% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 36% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
Expected goals: 1.28 - 1.29
Clean sheet chance: Derby County 27%, Swansea 28%

Match result

1X2

Derby County35.5%

Draw28.5%

Swansea36.0%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.0

Derby County

Average

6.7

Swansea

Above average

Derby CountyLast 10 games

Swansea

0.60Points per game2.00

0.9Goals scored per game1.5

1.7Goals conceded per game0.8

60%Over 2.5 goals60%

60%Both teams scored50%

10%Clean sheets40%

30%Failed to score30%

Recent results

Derby CountyDDLLL

SwanseaWWWLD

English Championship

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	8	+7	17
2	West Ham United	8	+11	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	+4	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers	7	+5	14
5	West Brom	8	+2	14
6	Queens Park Rangers	8	+3	13
7	Stoke	8	+1	13
8	Bristol City	8	-1	13
9	Charlton Athletic	8	-3	12
10	Birmingham City	8	+1	11
11	Millwall	8	0	11
12	Lincoln City	8	-1	11
13	Southampton	8	+9	10
14	Wrexham	8	-3	10
15	Bolton Wanderers	8	-4	10
16	Blackburn Rovers	8	0	9
17	Norwich	8	-1	9
18	Sheffield United	8	-2	9
19	Portsmouth	7	-1	8
20	Watford	8	-3	8
21	Cardiff	8	-2	7
22	Derby County	8	-7	5
23	Preston North End	8	-7	4
24	Burnley	8	-8	4