Arouca vs Estoril Praia prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 1Full time
Arouca
0-2
Estoril Praia
Model's readEstádio Municipal de Arouca
1 45%X 24%2 30%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
77.1%
xG
1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
56%
Form
Full stats →AroucaDLDWLEstoril PraiaLLLDLMatch analysis
Model generatedArouca favoured at 45%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.58 goals for Arouca and 1.25 for Estoril Praia, giving 45% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 30% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.58 - 1.25
- Clean sheet chance: Arouca 29%, Estoril Praia 21%
Match result
1X2Arouca45.3%
Draw24.3%
Estoril Praia30.4%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Arouca
Above average
4.3
Estoril Praia
Average
AroucaLast 10 gamesEstoril Praia1.80Points per game0.30
1.8Goals scored per game0.6
1.1Goals conceded per game1.6
70%Over 2.5 goals40%
60%Both teams scored60%
30%Clean sheets10%
20%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Santa Clara | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Académico de Viseu | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 | Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Braga | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira41′ 1-1 | 8 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave41′ 1-1 | 8 | -10 | 5 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril Praia | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings5
Arouca
2
Draws
3
Estoril Praia
- 7 Sept 26Estoril Praia 0-0 Arouca
- 6 Apr 26Arouca 3-2 Estoril Praia
- 7 Nov 25Estoril Praia 4-3 Arouca
- 16 Mar 25Arouca 1-1 Estoril Praia
- 26 Oct 24Estoril Praia 4-1 Arouca