Santa Clara vs Arouca prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 13Full time
Santa Clara
2-1
Arouca
Model's readEstádio de São Miguel
1 44%X 27%2 29%
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
78.3%
xG
1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.5
42%
Both score
47%
Form
Full stats →Santa ClaraWDWWDAroucaDLDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedSanta Clara favoured at 44%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.34 goals for Santa Clara and 1.04 for Arouca, giving 44% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.34 - 1.04
- Clean sheet chance: Santa Clara 35%, Arouca 26%
Match result
1X2Santa Clara43.7%
Draw26.9%
Arouca29.4%
Model rating
All ratings →5.9
Santa Clara
Above average
5.7
Arouca
Above average
Santa ClaraLast 10 gamesArouca2.10Points per game1.80
1.4Goals scored per game1.8
0.5Goals conceded per game1.1
30%Over 2.5 goals70%
30%Both teams scored60%
60%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 | Santa Clara | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Académico de Viseu | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 | Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Braga | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de MadeiraHT 1-1 | 8 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 |  Rio AveHT 1-1 | 8 | -10 | 5 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 9 meetings3
Santa Clara
3
Draws
3
Arouca
- 13 Sept 26Arouca 1-2 Santa Clara
- 2 May 26Arouca 2-2 Santa Clara
- 21 Dec 25Santa Clara 0-0 Arouca
- 26 Apr 25Santa Clara 2-0 Arouca
- 15 Dec 24Arouca 1-0 Santa Clara