Estoril Praia vs Arouca Prediction — Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

76.8%

xG

1.4 – 1.4

Over 2.5

53%

Both score

57%

Form

Full stats →

Estoril PraiaLLLDL

AroucaDLDWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Estoril Praia favoured at 39%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.44 goals for Estoril Praia and 1.37 for Arouca, giving 39% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 36% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.44 - 1.37
Clean sheet chance: Estoril Praia 25%, Arouca 24%

Match result

1X2

Estoril Praia39.2%

Draw24.7%

Arouca36.1%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.3

Estoril Praia

Average

5.7

Arouca

Above average

Estoril PraiaLast 10 games

Arouca

0.30Points per game1.80

0.6Goals scored per game1.8

1.6Goals conceded per game1.1

40%Over 2.5 goals70%

60%Both teams scored60%

10%Clean sheets30%

40%Failed to score20%

Recent results

Estoril PraiaLLLDL

AroucaDLDWL

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Porto	7	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	+3	11
6	Braga	6	+2	11
7	Académico de Viseu	7	0	11
8	Estrela Amadora	7	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	0	8
10	Alverca	7	-2	8
11	Marítimo	7	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	+2	7
14	Vitória de Guimarães	7	-3	5
15	Nacional de Madeira	7	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	-13	4
18	Estoril Praia	7	-7	2