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USA vs Mexico prediction, CONCACAF Gold Cup

CONCACAF Gold Cup · Round 200Full time

USA

1-0

Sun, 1 Aug

Mexico

Model's readLas Vegas
1 38%X 28%2 34%

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

72.5%

xG

1.4 – 1.3

Over 2.5

49%

Both score

55%

Form

Full stats →
USAWWWWL
MexicoLLDDL

Match analysis

Model generated

USA favoured at 38%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.36 goals for USA and 1.29 for Mexico, giving 38% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 34% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 3413 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.36 - 1.29
  • Clean sheet chance: USA 28%, Mexico 26%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

USA v Mexico

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
USA37.7%
Draw28.1%
Mexico34.2%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.2

USA

Above average

5.3

Mexico

Average

USALast 10 gamesMexico
2.10Points per game1.70
2.5Goals scored per game1.5
1.4Goals conceded per game1.0
70%Over 2.5 goals40%
60%Both teams scored30%
40%Clean sheets50%
0%Failed to score20%

Recent results

USAWWWWL
  • 7 OctHCanada1-0
  • 4 OctHMexico3-0
  • 30 SeptHChile4-2
  • 26 SeptHPeru4-1
  • 6 JulHBelgium1-4
  • 1 JulHBosnia-Herzegovina2-0
MexicoLLDDL
  • 7 OctHChile0-2
  • 4 OctAUSA0-3
  • 30 SeptHPeru1-1
  • 27 SeptHColombia1-1
  • 5 JulHEngland2-3
  • 30 JunHEcuador2-0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

3

USA

2

Draws

5

Mexico

  • 4 Oct 26USA 3-0 Mexico
  • 6 Jul 25USA 1-2 Mexico
  • 15 Oct 24Mexico 2-0 USA
  • 19 Apr 23USA 1-1 Mexico
  • 24 Mar 22Mexico 0-0 USA
Every meeting between these two →