Real Madrid vs Inter Milan prediction, UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League · Group DFull time
Real Madrid
2-0
Inter Milan
Model's readEstadio Santiago Bernabéu
1 57%X 21%2 21%
Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
78.6%
xG
2.0 – 1.1
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
59%
Form
Full stats →Real MadridWLWWWInter MilanWDWLWMatch analysis
Model generatedReal Madrid favoured at 57%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.01 goals for Real Madrid and 1.15 for Inter Milan, giving 57% for the home win, 21% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1866 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 2.01 - 1.15
- Clean sheet chance: Real Madrid 32%, Inter Milan 13%
Match result
1X2Real Madrid57.4%
Draw21.2%
Inter Milan21.4%
Real MadridLast 10 gamesInter Milan2.40Points per game2.10
2.5Goals scored per game2.5
1.1Goals conceded per game1.4
80%Over 2.5 goals70%
70%Both teams scored70%
20%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score0%
Recent results
UEFA Champions League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Barcelona | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Manchester United | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |  Stuttgart | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Lens | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Real Betis | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Liverpool | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Madrid | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Arsenal | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |  Villarreal | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |  Lille | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |  Atlético Madrid | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |  Porto | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |  Feyenoord | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 5 meetings5
Real Madrid
0
Draws
0
Inter Milan
- 8 Sept 26Real Madrid 2-1 Inter Milan
- 7 Dec 21Real Madrid 2-0 Inter Milan
- 15 Sept 21Inter Milan 0-1 Real Madrid
- 25 Nov 20Inter Milan 0-2 Real Madrid
- 3 Nov 20Real Madrid 3-2 Inter Milan