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Sweden vs Greece prediction, World Cup Qualifying UEFA

World Cup Qualifying UEFA · Round 400Full time

Sweden

2-0

Tue, 12 Oct

Greece

Model's readStockholm
1 43%X 27%2 30%

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

77.8%

xG

1.5 – 1.2

Over 2.5

53%

Both score

57%

Form

Full stats →
SwedenWDWWL
GreeceDDWWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Sweden favoured at 43%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.55 goals for Sweden and 1.25 for Greece, giving 43% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 30% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.55 - 1.25
  • Clean sheet chance: Sweden 29%, Greece 21%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Sweden v Greece

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Sweden43.2%
Draw27.1%
Greece29.7%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.6

Sweden

Above average

6.5

Greece

Above average

SwedenLast 10 gamesGreece
1.50Points per game1.40
1.7Goals scored per game1.0
1.8Goals conceded per game0.9
70%Over 2.5 goals40%
80%Both teams scored40%
10%Clean sheets40%
10%Failed to score50%

Recent results

SwedenWDWWL
  • 5 OctARomania1-0
  • 2 OctABosnia-Herzegovina1-1
  • 28 SeptHPoland3-1
  • 25 SeptHRomania2-1
  • 30 JunAFrance0-3
  • 25 JunAJapan1-1
GreeceDDWWL
  • 4 OctHGermany0-0
  • 1 OctHNetherlands2-2
  • 27 SeptAGermany1-0
  • 24 SeptASerbia2-1
  • 7 JunHItaly0-1
  • 4 JunASweden2-2

Head to head

Last 7 meetings

2

Sweden

3

Draws

2

Greece

  • 4 Jun 26Sweden 2-2 Greece
  • 12 Oct 21Sweden 2-0 Greece
  • 8 Sept 21Greece 2-1 Sweden
  • 10 Jun 08Greece 0-2 Sweden
  • 20 Aug 03Sweden 1-2 Greece
Every meeting between these two →