Liverpool vs Manchester City prediction, UEFA Champions League
Liverpool
3-0
Manchester City
Model's readAnfield
1 54%X 23%2 23%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
77.1%
xG
1.8 – 1.1
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →LiverpoolWWDWWManchester CityWWWWWMatch analysis
Model generatedLiverpool favoured at 54%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.77 goals for Liverpool and 1.07 for Manchester City, giving 54% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1866 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.77 - 1.07
- Clean sheet chance: Liverpool 34%, Manchester City 17%
Match result
1X2Liverpool54.0%
Draw23.2%
Manchester City22.9%
LiverpoolLast 10 gamesManchester City1.70Points per game2.50
1.6Goals scored per game2.3
1.2Goals conceded per game0.8
50%Over 2.5 goals50%
70%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets50%
10%Failed to score0%
Recent results
LiverpoolWWDWW
UEFA Champions League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Barcelona | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Manchester United | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |  Stuttgart | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Lens | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Real Betis | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Real Madrid | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Arsenal | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |  Villarreal | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |  Lille | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |  Atlético Madrid | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |  Porto | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |  Feyenoord | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 3 meetings2
Liverpool
0
Draws
1
Manchester City
- 4 Apr 26Manchester City 4-0 Liverpool
- 10 Apr 18Manchester City 1-2 Liverpool
- 4 Apr 18Liverpool 3-0 Manchester City