Mexico vs USA prediction, World Cup Qualifying CONCACAF
Mexico
0-0
USA
Model's readMexico City
1 45%X 26%2 29%
Our pick
Home or Away (12)
74.4%
xG
1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
61%
Form
Full stats →
MexicoLLDDL
USAWWWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedMexico favoured at 45%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.69 goals for Mexico and 1.32 for USA, giving 45% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 3413 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.69 - 1.32
- Clean sheet chance: Mexico 27%, USA 18%
Match result
1X2Mexico45.3%
Draw25.6%
USA29.1%
Model rating
All ratings →5.3
Mexico
Average
6.2
USA
Above average
MexicoLast 10 gamesUSA1.70Points per game2.10
1.5Goals scored per game2.5
1.0Goals conceded per game1.4
40%Over 2.5 goals70%
30%Both teams scored60%
50%Clean sheets40%
20%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings5
Mexico
2
Draws
3
USA
- 4 Oct 26USA 3-0 Mexico
- 6 Jul 25USA 1-2 Mexico
- 15 Oct 24Mexico 2-0 USA
- 19 Apr 23USA 1-1 Mexico
- 24 Mar 22Mexico 0-0 USA