Poland vs Sweden prediction, World Cup Qualifying UEFA
Our pick
Home or Away (12)
74.3%
xG
1.7 – 1.4
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
62%
Form
Full stats →
PolandLWLDD
SwedenWDWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedPoland favoured at 44%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.68 goals for Poland and 1.39 for Sweden, giving 44% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 31% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.68 - 1.39
- Clean sheet chance: Poland 25%, Sweden 19%
Match result
1X2Poland43.6%
Draw25.7%
Sweden30.8%
Model rating
All ratings →5.0
Poland
Average
6.6
Sweden
Above average
PolandLast 10 gamesSweden1.20Points per game1.50
1.7Goals scored per game1.7
1.5Goals conceded per game1.8
60%Over 2.5 goals70%
60%Both teams scored80%
20%Clean sheets10%
30%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings1
Poland
1
Draws
8
Sweden
- 28 Sept 26Sweden 3-1 Poland
- 31 Mar 26Sweden 3-2 Poland
- 29 Mar 22Poland 2-0 Sweden
- 23 Jun 21Sweden 3-2 Poland
- 5 Jun 04Sweden 3-1 Poland