
Arsenal
2-1

Aston Villa
Our pick
Home Win
xG
1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
49%
Arsenal are the model's strongest pick at 60% for the home win, well above the 42% norm for this competition. The model rates Arsenal 1st and Aston Villa 13th of the 27 sides. The goals markets are close to even, with over 2.5 at 51%.
Arsenal
Strong
Aston Villa
Above average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +8 | 15 | |
| 2▲ | 6 | +12 | 13 | |
| 3▼ | 5 | +4 | 12 | |
| 4 | 6 | +6 | 10 | |
| 5▲ | 6 | +2 | 10 | |
| 6▼ | 5 | +4 | 9 | |
| 7▼ | 5 | +3 | 9 | |
| 8▼ | 5 | +3 | 9 | |
| 9▼ | 5 | +2 | 8 | |
| 10▼ | 5 | 0 | 8 | |
| 11 | 6 | -4 | 7 | |
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| 13 | 5 | -1 | 5 | |
| 14▲ | 6 | -5 | 5 | |
| 15▼ | 6 | -5 | 4 | |
| 16▼ | 5 | -5 | 4 | |
| 17▲ | 6 | -3 | 3 | |
| 18▼ | 6 | -6 | 3 | |
| 19▼ | 5 | -9 | 3 | |
| 20 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
6
Arsenal
1
Draws
3
Aston Villa