Arouca vs Santa Clara prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 20Full time
Arouca
1-0
Santa Clara
Model's readEstádio Municipal de Arouca
1 37%X 27%2 35%
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
78.6%
xG
1.2 – 1.2
Over 2.5
42%
Both score
48%
Form
Full stats →AroucaDLDWLSanta ClaraWDWWDMatch analysis
Model generatedArouca favoured at 37%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.20 goals for Arouca and 1.16 for Santa Clara, giving 37% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 35% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.20 - 1.16
- Clean sheet chance: Arouca 31%, Santa Clara 30%
Match result
1X2Arouca37.3%
Draw27.4%
Santa Clara35.3%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Arouca
Above average
5.9
Santa Clara
Above average
AroucaLast 10 gamesSanta Clara1.80Points per game2.10
1.8Goals scored per game1.4
1.1Goals conceded per game0.5
70%Over 2.5 goals30%
60%Both teams scored30%
30%Clean sheets60%
20%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 | Santa Clara | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Académico de Viseu | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 | Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Braga | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de MadeiraHT 1-1 | 8 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 |  Rio AveHT 1-1 | 8 | -10 | 5 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 9 meetings3
Arouca
3
Draws
3
Santa Clara
- 13 Sept 26Arouca 1-2 Santa Clara
- 2 May 26Arouca 2-2 Santa Clara
- 21 Dec 25Santa Clara 0-0 Arouca
- 26 Apr 25Santa Clara 2-0 Arouca
- 15 Dec 24Arouca 1-0 Santa Clara