Burnley vs Middlesbrough prediction, English Championship
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
78.0%
xG
1.3 – 1.5
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
58%
Form
Full stats →
BurnleyWDLDL
MiddlesbroughWDDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedMiddlesbrough favoured at 41%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.31 goals for Burnley and 1.50 for Middlesbrough, giving 32% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 41% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.31 - 1.50
- Clean sheet chance: Burnley 22%, Middlesbrough 27%
Match result
1X2Burnley32.4%
Draw27.0%
Middlesbrough40.6%
Model rating
All ratings →7.0
Burnley
Strong
6.9
Middlesbrough
Above average
BurnleyLast 10 gamesMiddlesbrough0.80Points per game1.80
1.3Goals scored per game1.8
1.7Goals conceded per game1.5
60%Over 2.5 goals70%
80%Both teams scored70%
20%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score10%
Recent results
English Championship
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham United | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Stoke | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham City | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln City | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |  Derby County | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston North End | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Burnley
5
Draws
2
Middlesbrough
- 2 Sept 26Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough
- 29 Dec 24Middlesbrough 0-0 Burnley
- 6 Dec 24Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough
- 7 Apr 23Middlesbrough 1-2 Burnley
- 17 Dec 22Burnley 3-1 Middlesbrough