Middlesbrough vs Burnley prediction, English Championship
English Championship · Round 40Full time
Middlesbrough
1-2
Burnley
Model's readRiverside Stadium
1 54%X 25%2 21%
Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
78.6%
xG
1.8 – 1.1
Over 2.5
55%
Both score
56%
Form
Full stats →MiddlesbroughWDDWLBurnleyWDLDLMatch analysis
EnhancedHome or Draw is the model's strongest read
Home or Draw is the model's strongest pick at 79%, against a 70% norm for this competition. Middlesbrough are the likelier winners at 54%, and Burnley have taken 0.5 points a game over their last six. The edge is the gap over the norm, not the raw figure.
Match result
1X2Middlesbrough53.8%
Draw24.8%
Burnley21.4%
Model rating
All ratings →6.9
Middlesbrough
Above average
7.0
Burnley
Strong
MiddlesbroughLast 10 gamesBurnley1.80Points per game0.80
1.8Goals scored per game1.3
1.5Goals conceded per game1.7
70%Over 2.5 goals60%
70%Both teams scored80%
20%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score10%
Recent results
English Championship
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham United | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Stoke | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham City | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln City | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |  Derby County | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston North End | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Middlesbrough
5
Draws
3
Burnley
- 2 Sept 26Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough
- 29 Dec 24Middlesbrough 0-0 Burnley
- 6 Dec 24Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough
- 7 Apr 23Middlesbrough 1-2 Burnley
- 17 Dec 22Burnley 3-1 Middlesbrough