Mali vs Zambia prediction, International Friendlies
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
75.6%
xG
1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
48%
Form
Full stats →
MaliLDLDD
ZambiaLLLDDMatch analysis
Model generatedMali favoured at 54%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.62 goals for Mali and 0.89 for Zambia, giving 54% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 20% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.62 - 0.89
- Clean sheet chance: Mali 41%, Zambia 20%
Match result
1X2Mali53.6%
Draw26.7%
Zambia19.7%
Model rating
All ratings →5.6
Mali
Above average
4.9
Zambia
Average
MaliLast 10 gamesZambia1.20Points per game0.50
1.0Goals scored per game0.5
0.9Goals conceded per game2.1
20%Over 2.5 goals50%
50%Both teams scored30%
30%Clean sheets20%
50%Failed to score60%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 6 meetings1
Mali
3
Draws
2
Zambia
- 22 Dec 25Mali 1-1 Zambia
- 23 Sept 22Mali 1-0 Zambia
- 18 Jun 05Zambia 2-1 Mali
- 19 Jun 04Mali 1-1 Zambia
- 10 Jan 02Mali 1-1 Zambia