Malawi vs Lesotho prediction, International Friendlies
International Friendlies · Round 3Full time
Malawi
1-1
Lesotho
Model's readBingu National Stadium
1 49%X 27%2 23%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
76.9%
xG
1.6 – 1.0
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
50%
Form
Full stats →
MalawiLDLLW
LesothoLDLDWMatch analysis
Model generatedMalawi favoured at 49%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.55 goals for Malawi and 0.99 for Lesotho, giving 49% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.55 - 0.99
- Clean sheet chance: Malawi 37%, Lesotho 21%
Match result
1X2Malawi49.4%
Draw27.4%
Lesotho23.1%
Model rating
All ratings →4.9
Malawi
Average
5.0
Lesotho
Average
MalawiLast 10 gamesLesotho1.20Points per game0.60
1.0Goals scored per game0.4
1.0Goals conceded per game1.9
40%Over 2.5 goals50%
40%Both teams scored30%
30%Clean sheets20%
40%Failed to score60%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 6 meetings1
Malawi
5
Draws
0
Lesotho
- 18 Nov 25Lesotho 0-1 Malawi
- 15 Nov 25Lesotho 0-0 Malawi
- 25 Feb 23Malawi 1-1 Lesotho
- 13 Oct 19Lesotho 1-1 Malawi
- 11 Nov 17Malawi 1-1 Lesotho