USA vs Mexico prediction, International Friendlies
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
72.3%
xG
1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
60%
Form
Full stats →
USAWWWWL
MexicoLLDDLMatch analysis
Model generatedUSA favoured at 47%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.72 goals for USA and 1.28 for Mexico, giving 47% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.72 - 1.28
- Clean sheet chance: USA 28%, Mexico 18%
Match result
1X2USA46.8%
Draw25.4%
Mexico27.7%
Model rating
All ratings →6.2
USA
Above average
5.3
Mexico
Average
USALast 10 gamesMexico2.10Points per game1.70
2.5Goals scored per game1.5
1.4Goals conceded per game1.0
70%Over 2.5 goals40%
60%Both teams scored30%
40%Clean sheets50%
0%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
USA
2
Draws
5
Mexico
- 4 Oct 26USA 3-0 Mexico
- 6 Jul 25USA 1-2 Mexico
- 15 Oct 24Mexico 2-0 USA
- 19 Apr 23USA 1-1 Mexico
- 24 Mar 22Mexico 0-0 USA