Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.8 – 0.7
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
45%
The model projects 1.79 goals for Paraguay and 0.75 for Nicaragua, giving 61% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 14% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Paraguay
Above average
Nicaragua
Average
2
Paraguay
0
Draws
0
Nicaragua