Chelsea vs Luton prediction, English Premier League
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
73.3%
xG
1.8 – 1.3
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
63%
Form
Full stats →
ChelseaWLDWL
LutonWLLDWMatch analysis
Model generatedChelsea favoured at 48%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.83 goals for Chelsea and 1.32 for Luton, giving 48% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.83 - 1.32
- Clean sheet chance: Chelsea 27%, Luton 16%
Match result
1X2Chelsea48.4%
Draw24.9%
Luton26.7%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Chelsea
Above average
6.0
Luton
Above average
ChelseaLast 10 gamesLuton1.90Points per game1.40
2.6Goals scored per game1.9
1.9Goals conceded per game1.7
90%Over 2.5 goals60%
80%Both teams scored60%
10%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score20%
Recent results
English Premier League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |  Brighton and Hove Albion | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Leeds United | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Newcastle United | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ipswich Town | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Coventry City | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 3 meetings3
Chelsea
0
Draws
0
Luton
- 27 Aug 26Chelsea 2-0 Luton
- 30 Dec 23Luton 2-3 Chelsea
- 25 Aug 23Chelsea 3-0 Luton