Stevenage vs Luton prediction, English League One
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
76.7%
xG
1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.5
44%
Both score
50%
Form
Full stats →
StevenageWLWWD
LutonWLLDWMatch analysis
EnhancedStevenage favoured at 41%, but a close game overall
The model makes Stevenage the most likely winner at 41%, ahead of Luton at 31% and a draw at 28%. Expected goals are 1.33 for Stevenage and 1.12 for Luton, so this projects as a tight contest rather than a clear mismatch. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 and 1-0.
Match result
1X2Stevenage41.0%
Draw27.9%
Luton31.1%
Model rating
All ratings →6.0
Stevenage
Above average
6.0
Luton
Above average
StevenageLast 10 gamesLuton1.50Points per game1.40
1.4Goals scored per game1.9
1.2Goals conceded per game1.7
60%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Both teams scored60%
20%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score20%
Recent results
English League One
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Plymouth | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 2 |  Bradford City | 8 | +3 | 16 |
| 3 |  Huddersfield Town | 8 | +7 | 15 |
| 4 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | +7 | 14 |
| 5 |  Stockport County | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 6 |  Cambridge United | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |  Reading | 8 | +7 | 12 |
| 8 |  Burton | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 |  AFC Wimbledon | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 |  Oxford United | 6 | +6 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leyton Orient | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 12 |  Wycombe | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage | 7 | +3 | 9 |
| 14 |  Leicester | 7 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Blackpool | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 |  Mansfield Town | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 |  Barnsley | 7 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Bromley | 7 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 |  Notts County | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 |  Doncaster Rovers | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 22 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 23 |  Peterboro | 8 | -9 | 5 |
| 23 | Peterborough United | 8 | -9 | 5 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 7 | -7 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 3 meetings2
Stevenage
0
Draws
1
Luton
- 10 Sept 26Stevenage 2-1 Luton
- 10 Jan 26Luton 2-1 Stevenage
- 4 Oct 25Stevenage 2-0 Luton