Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
51%
Stevenage are the model's slight favourite at 38%, ahead of Barnsley at 34% and a draw at 28%. Expected goals are 1.19 for Barnsley and 1.28 for Stevenage, so the model sees a tight, low-scoring game, with under 2.5 goals at 55%. Treat this as a lean, not a result.
Barnsley
Average
Stevenage
Above average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1▲ | 9 | +8 | 18 | |
| 2 | 9 | +3 | 17 | |
| 3▲ | 9 | +9 | 16 | |
| 4▼ | 9 | +5 | 16 | |
| 5▲ | 9 | +11 | 15 | |
| 6▼ | 8 | +6 | 14 | |
| 7▼ | 9 | +2 | 14 | |
| 8▲ | 8 | +4 | 12 | |
| 9▼ | 10 | -2 | 12 | |
| 10▼ | 8 | -2 | 12 | |
| 11▼ | 6 | +6 | 11 | |
| 12▲ | 8 | +2 | 11 | |
| 13▼ | 9 | +2 | 11 | |
| 14▲ | 8 | -2 | 11 | |
| 15▼ | 9 | -7 | 10 | |
| 16▼ | 8 | 0 | 9 | |
| 17▲ | 8 | 0 | 9 | |
| 18▼ | 8 | -4 | 9 | |
| 19▼ | 8 | -7 | 8 | |
| 20▲ | 9 | -7 | 8 | |
| 21▼ | 8 | -11 | 8 | |
| 22▼ | 7 | -2 | 7 | |
| 23▼ | 8 | -6 | 6 | |
| 24▼ | 8 | -9 | 5 | |
| 25▼ | 8 | -8 | 4 |
2
Barnsley
0
Draws
5
Stevenage