Aston Villa vs Arsenal prediction, English Premier League
English Premier League · Round 16Full time
Aston Villa
1-0
Arsenal
Model's readVilla Park
1 22%X 27%2 50%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
77.6%
xG
1.0 – 1.6
Over 2.5
48%
Both score
52%
Form
Full stats →Aston VillaDWWLWArsenalWLWWWMatch analysis
EnhancedModel leans Arsenal; away or draw is its top pick
The model makes Arsenal the favourite at 50%, with Aston Villa at 22% and a draw at 27%. Its strongest read is Away or Draw at 78%, well above the 58% norm for this competition. That gap, not the raw figure, is what stands out.
Match result
1X2Aston Villa22.4%
Draw27.3%
Arsenal50.2%
Model rating
All ratings →5.8
Aston Villa
Above average
8.3
Arsenal
Strong
Aston VillaLast 10 gamesArsenal1.70Points per game2.50
1.7Goals scored per game1.8
1.5Goals conceded per game0.9
80%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets40%
30%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Aston VillaDWWLW
English Premier League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |  Brighton and Hove Albion | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Leeds United | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Newcastle United | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ipswich Town | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Coventry City | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Aston Villa
1
Draws
6
Arsenal
- 31 Aug 26Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal
- 30 Dec 25Arsenal 4-1 Aston Villa
- 6 Dec 25Aston Villa 2-1 Arsenal
- 18 Jan 25Arsenal 2-2 Aston Villa
- 24 Aug 24Aston Villa 0-2 Arsenal