Our pick
Home or Away (12)
xG
1.5 – 1.6
Over 2.5
60%
Both score
64%
The model makes Chelsea the slight favourite at 38%, with Luton at 36% and a draw at 26%. The gap is small, so this is a lean rather than a clear edge. Goals look likely: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams scoring at 64%.
Luton
Above average
Chelsea
Above average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +8 | 15 | |
| 2 | 5 | +4 | 12 | |
| 3 | 5 | +11 | 10 | |
| 4 | 5 | +6 | 9 | |
| 5 | 5 | +4 | 9 | |
| 6 | 5 | +3 | 9 | |
| 7 | 5 | +3 | 9 | |
| 8 | 5 | +2 | 8 | |
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 8 | |
| 10 | 5 | -2 | 7 | |
| 11 | 5 | -4 | 6 | |
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| 13 | 5 | -1 | 5 | |
| 14 | 5 | -4 | 4 | |
| 15 | 5 | -5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 5 | -5 | 4 | |
| 17 | 5 | -2 | 3 | |
| 18 | 5 | -9 | 3 | |
| 19 | 5 | -3 | 2 | |
| 20 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
0
Luton
0
Draws
3
Chelsea