Arsenal vs Aston Villa Prediction — English Premier League

Our pick

Home Win

60.0%

xG

1.9 – 0.9

Over 2.5

51%

Both score

49%

Form

Full stats →

ArsenalWLWWW

Aston VillaDWWLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Arsenal favoured at 60%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.85 goals for Arsenal and 0.85 for Aston Villa, giving 60% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 16% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.85 - 0.85
Clean sheet chance: Arsenal 43%, Aston Villa 16%

Match result

1X2

Arsenal60.0%

Draw24.3%

Aston Villa15.7%

Model rating

All ratings →

8.3

Arsenal

Strong

5.8

Aston Villa

Above average

ArsenalLast 10 games

Aston Villa

2.50Points per game1.70

1.8Goals scored per game1.7

0.9Goals conceded per game1.5

60%Over 2.5 goals80%

50%Both teams scored60%

40%Clean sheets20%

10%Failed to score30%

Recent results

ArsenalWLWWW

Aston VillaDWWLW

English Premier League

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	+4	12
3	Brighton and Hove Albion	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	+6	9
5	Leeds United	5	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	+3	9
7	Everton	5	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	+2	8
9	Newcastle United	5	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	-2	7
11	Ipswich Town	5	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	-2	3
18	Coventry City	5	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	-3	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur	5	-6	2