Sporting CP vs Arouca prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 8Full time
Sporting CP
2-1
Arouca
Model's readEstádio José Alvalade
1 70%X 17%2 13%
Our pick
Home Win
69.8%
xG
2.4 – 0.9
Over 2.5
63%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →Sporting CPWDDWWAroucaDLDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedSporting CP favoured at 70%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.35 goals for Sporting CP and 0.90 for Arouca, giving 70% for the home win, 17% for the draw and 13% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 11%
- Expected goals: 2.35 - 0.90
- Clean sheet chance: Sporting CP 41%, Arouca 10%
Match result
1X2Sporting CP69.8%
Draw17.3%
Arouca12.9%
Model rating
All ratings →9.0
Sporting CP
Elite
5.7
Arouca
Above average
Sporting CPLast 10 gamesArouca2.40Points per game1.80
2.6Goals scored per game1.8
1.0Goals conceded per game1.1
80%Over 2.5 goals70%
70%Both teams scored60%
30%Clean sheets30%
0%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Santa Clara | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Académico de Viseu | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 | Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Braga | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de MadeiraHT 1-1 | 8 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 |  Rio AveHT 1-1 | 8 | -10 | 5 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Sporting CP
3
Draws
1
Arouca
- 19 Sept 26Sporting CP 2-2 Arouca
- 24 Jan 26Arouca 1-2 Sporting CP
- 17 Aug 25Sporting CP 6-0 Arouca
- 15 Feb 25Sporting CP 2-2 Arouca
- 13 Sept 24Arouca 0-3 Sporting CP