Burundi vs Gambia prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
World Cup Qualifying CAF · Round 1Full time
Burundi
3-2
Gambia
Model's readKaohsiung National Stadium
1 35%X 26%2 39%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
78.7%
xG
1.4 – 1.5
Over 2.5
55%
Both score
59%
Form
Full stats →
BurundiLLLLL
GambiaLLDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedGambia favoured at 39%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.39 goals for Burundi and 1.48 for Gambia, giving 35% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 39% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.39 - 1.48
- Clean sheet chance: Burundi 23%, Gambia 25%
Match result
1X2Burundi34.9%
Draw26.3%
Gambia38.8%
Model rating
All ratings →5.0
Burundi
Average
5.2
Gambia
Average
BurundiLast 10 gamesGambia0.70Points per game1.40
0.6Goals scored per game2.2
1.3Goals conceded per game1.6
20%Over 2.5 goals70%
0%Both teams scored70%
30%Clean sheets20%
80%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 2 meetings1
Burundi
0
Draws
1
Gambia
- 9 Sept 25Gambia 2-0 Burundi
- 16 Nov 23Burundi 3-2 Gambia