Mozambique vs Somalia prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
World Cup Qualifying CAF · Round 3Full time
Mozambique
2-1
Somalia
Model's readEstádio Nacional do Zimpeto
1 50%X 26%2 24%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
76.0%
xG
1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →
MozambiqueLLLLW
SomaliaWWLLLMatch analysis
Model generatedMozambique favoured at 50%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.64 goals for Mozambique and 1.07 for Somalia, giving 50% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.64 - 1.07
- Clean sheet chance: Mozambique 34%, Somalia 19%
Match result
1X2Mozambique49.9%
Draw26.0%
Somalia24.1%
Model rating
All ratings →4.9
Mozambique
Average
5.5
Somalia
Above average
MozambiqueLast 10 gamesSomalia0.80Points per game0.70
1.0Goals scored per game0.4
1.9Goals conceded per game1.8
60%Over 2.5 goals50%
50%Both teams scored20%
10%Clean sheets20%
40%Failed to score70%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 2 meetings2
Mozambique
0
Draws
0
Somalia
- 14 Oct 25Somalia 0-1 Mozambique
- 7 Jun 24Mozambique 2-1 Somalia